Longboys decision board
Player Value blends absolute ESPN projection strength with within-position standing, so a thin waiver pool no longer makes every top available player look elite.
Raw Δ is incoming Player Value minus the named drop candidate. Roster fit is the explicit positional adjustment. Net Δ is what drives Claim/Watch/Ignore.
Watch
Bryce Young
QB · 29 · WAIVERS · ACTIVE
Week
14.8
(8.2)
Season
267.9
(150.2)
Value
91
(74)
Fit
-10.0
Net
+6.5
Pros
- Week projection +6.6 versus Romeo Doubs
- Season projection +117.7 versus comparison player
- Raw player-value gain of +16.5
- Strong ESPN ownership/market signal
- Net Δ +6.5 clears Watch threshold
Cons
- 1-QB format and Baker Mayfield reduce backup-QB utility
- Does not clear the +12 Claim threshold
Decision math
- Incoming value
- 91.0
- Drop retention
- 74.4
- Raw Δ
- +16.5
- Roster fit
- -10.0
- Net Δ
- +6.5
- Claim threshold
- +12.0
- Watch threshold
- +3.0
Context
- Drop / swap
- Romeo Doubs
- Week projection
- 14.8
- Season projection
- 267.9
- ESPN rostered
- 9.1%
- Historical board
- 160
Debug / model details
live value 91 vs Romeo Doubs retention 74 (+16.5 before roster-fit adjustment); penalized because this is a 1-QB league and Baker Mayfield is already rostered; top-quintile season projection within the live position pool; top-quintile current-week projection within the live position pool; strong ESPN ownership signal
- Player Value
- 91.0
- Raw Δ
- +16.5
- Roster-fit adjustment
- -10.0
- Net Δ
- +6.5
- UI fit score
- 56.5
Watch
Geno Smith
QB · 20 · WAIVERS · ACTIVE
Week
13.8
(8.2)
Season
261.2
(150.2)
Value
88
(74)
Fit
-10.0
Net
+3.2
Pros
- Week projection +5.5 versus Romeo Doubs
- Season projection +111.0 versus comparison player
- Raw player-value gain of +13.2
- Strong ESPN ownership/market signal
- Net Δ +3.2 clears Watch threshold
Cons
- 1-QB format and Baker Mayfield reduce backup-QB utility
- Does not clear the +12 Claim threshold
Decision math
- Incoming value
- 87.7
- Drop retention
- 74.4
- Raw Δ
- +13.2
- Roster fit
- -10.0
- Net Δ
- +3.2
- Claim threshold
- +12.0
- Watch threshold
- +3.0
Context
- Drop / swap
- Romeo Doubs
- Week projection
- 13.8
- Season projection
- 261.2
- ESPN rostered
- 3.3%
- Historical board
- 160
Debug / model details
live value 88 vs Romeo Doubs retention 74 (+13.2 before roster-fit adjustment); penalized because this is a 1-QB league and Baker Mayfield is already rostered; top-quintile season projection within the live position pool; top-quintile current-week projection within the live position pool; strong ESPN ownership signal
- Player Value
- 87.7
- Raw Δ
- +13.2
- Roster-fit adjustment
- -10.0
- Net Δ
- +3.2
- UI fit score
- 53.2