WAIVER ENGINE · LIVE ESPN · v0.4.6.2
Longboys decision board
Calibrated live mode: the board now separates player quality from transaction value. Claim means the incoming player clears the actual Longboys drop cost plus the roster-fit hurdle; K and D/ST require a real Week 1 edge over the current starter. The Aug. 17 board is historical context only.
Player Value blends absolute ESPN projection strength with within-position standing, so a thin waiver pool no longer makes every top available player look elite.
Raw Δ is incoming Player Value minus the named drop candidate. Roster fit is the explicit positional adjustment. Net Δ is what drives Claim/Watch/Ignore.
Ignore
Titans D/ST
D/ST · 10 · WAIVERS
Week
6.7
(5.4)
Season
77.9
(100.8)
Value
66
(79)
Fit
+0.0
Net
+1.3
Titans D/ST
D/ST · 10 · WAIVERS
Pros
- Week projection +1.3 versus Packers D/ST
Cons
- Season projection -22.9 versus comparison player
- Week projection edge does not clear the +1.5 streaming threshold
Decision math
- Incoming value
- 65.7
- Drop retention
- 78.8
- Raw Δ
- +1.3
- Roster fit
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- +1.3
- Stream threshold
- +1.5 Week pts
Context
- Drop / swap
- Packers D/ST
- Week projection
- 6.7
- Season projection
- 77.9
- ESPN rostered
- 4.4%
- Historical board
- —
Debug / model details
projects +1.3 points versus Packers D/ST; not enough edge to churn the roster; same-position streaming decision
- Player Value
- 65.7
- Raw Δ
- +1.3
- Roster-fit adjustment
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- +1.3
- UI fit score
- 62.7
Ignore
Bears D/ST
D/ST · 3 · WAIVERS
Week
6.6
(5.4)
Season
90.6
(100.8)
Value
78
(79)
Fit
+0.0
Net
+1.2
Bears D/ST
D/ST · 3 · WAIVERS
Pros
- Week projection +1.2 versus Packers D/ST
- Strong ESPN ownership/market signal
Cons
- Week projection edge does not clear the +1.5 streaming threshold
Decision math
- Incoming value
- 77.6
- Drop retention
- 78.8
- Raw Δ
- +1.2
- Roster fit
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- +1.2
- Stream threshold
- +1.5 Week pts
Context
- Drop / swap
- Packers D/ST
- Week projection
- 6.6
- Season projection
- 90.6
- ESPN rostered
- 10.5%
- Historical board
- —
Debug / model details
projects +1.2 points versus Packers D/ST; not enough edge to churn the roster; same-position streaming decision
- Player Value
- 77.6
- Raw Δ
- +1.2
- Roster-fit adjustment
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- +1.2
- UI fit score
- 61.6
Ignore
Jets D/ST
D/ST · 20 · WAIVERS
Week
6.5
(5.4)
Season
99.8
(100.8)
Value
78
(79)
Fit
+0.0
Net
+1.1
Jets D/ST
D/ST · 20 · WAIVERS
Pros
- Week projection +1.1 versus Packers D/ST
Cons
- Week projection edge does not clear the +1.5 streaming threshold
Decision math
- Incoming value
- 77.9
- Drop retention
- 78.8
- Raw Δ
- +1.1
- Roster fit
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- +1.1
- Stream threshold
- +1.5 Week pts
Context
- Drop / swap
- Packers D/ST
- Week projection
- 6.5
- Season projection
- 99.8
- ESPN rostered
- 1.9%
- Historical board
- —
Debug / model details
projects +1.1 points versus Packers D/ST; not enough edge to churn the roster; same-position streaming decision
- Player Value
- 77.9
- Raw Δ
- +1.1
- Roster-fit adjustment
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- +1.1
- UI fit score
- 61.1
Ignore
Cowboys D/ST
D/ST · 6 · WAIVERS
Week
5.0
(5.4)
Season
78.7
(100.8)
Value
63
(79)
Fit
+0.0
Net
-0.5
Cowboys D/ST
D/ST · 6 · WAIVERS
Pros
- Strong ESPN ownership/market signal
Cons
- Season projection -22.1 versus comparison player
- Week projection edge does not clear the +1.5 streaming threshold
Decision math
- Incoming value
- 63.1
- Drop retention
- 78.8
- Raw Δ
- -0.5
- Roster fit
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -0.5
- Stream threshold
- +1.5 Week pts
Context
- Drop / swap
- Packers D/ST
- Week projection
- 5.0
- Season projection
- 78.7
- ESPN rostered
- 10.8%
- Historical board
- —
Debug / model details
projects -0.5 points versus Packers D/ST; not enough edge to churn the roster; same-position streaming decision
- Player Value
- 63.1
- Raw Δ
- -0.5
- Roster-fit adjustment
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -0.5
- UI fit score
- 45.4
Ignore
Raiders D/ST
D/ST · 13 · WAIVERS
Week
4.9
(5.4)
Season
58.3
(100.8)
Value
42
(79)
Fit
+0.0
Net
-0.6
Raiders D/ST
D/ST · 13 · WAIVERS
Pros
- No material positive factors beyond baseline.
Cons
- Season projection -42.5 versus comparison player
- Week projection edge does not clear the +1.5 streaming threshold
Decision math
- Incoming value
- 41.6
- Drop retention
- 78.8
- Raw Δ
- -0.6
- Roster fit
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -0.6
- Stream threshold
- +1.5 Week pts
Context
- Drop / swap
- Packers D/ST
- Week projection
- 4.9
- Season projection
- 58.3
- ESPN rostered
- 1.7%
- Historical board
- —
Debug / model details
projects -0.6 points versus Packers D/ST; not enough edge to churn the roster; same-position streaming decision
- Player Value
- 41.6
- Raw Δ
- -0.6
- Roster-fit adjustment
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -0.6
- UI fit score
- 44.4
Ignore
Bengals D/ST
D/ST · 4 · WAIVERS
Week
4.5
(5.4)
Season
73.5
(100.8)
Value
52
(79)
Fit
+0.0
Net
-1.0
Bengals D/ST
D/ST · 4 · WAIVERS
Pros
- No material positive factors beyond baseline.
Cons
- Season projection -27.3 versus comparison player
- Week projection edge does not clear the +1.5 streaming threshold
Decision math
- Incoming value
- 52.2
- Drop retention
- 78.8
- Raw Δ
- -1.0
- Roster fit
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -1.0
- Stream threshold
- +1.5 Week pts
Context
- Drop / swap
- Packers D/ST
- Week projection
- 4.5
- Season projection
- 73.5
- ESPN rostered
- 2.9%
- Historical board
- —
Debug / model details
projects -1.0 points versus Packers D/ST; not enough edge to churn the roster; same-position streaming decision
- Player Value
- 52.2
- Raw Δ
- -1.0
- Roster-fit adjustment
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -1.0
- UI fit score
- 40.4
Ignore
Vikings D/ST
D/ST · 16 · WAIVERS
Week
4.3
(5.4)
Season
120.7
(100.8)
Value
85
(79)
Fit
+0.0
Net
-1.1
Vikings D/ST
D/ST · 16 · WAIVERS
Pros
- Season projection +19.9 versus comparison player
- Strong ESPN ownership/market signal
Cons
- Week projection -1.1 versus Packers D/ST
- Week projection edge does not clear the +1.5 streaming threshold
Decision math
- Incoming value
- 85.1
- Drop retention
- 78.8
- Raw Δ
- -1.1
- Roster fit
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -1.1
- Stream threshold
- +1.5 Week pts
Context
- Drop / swap
- Packers D/ST
- Week projection
- 4.3
- Season projection
- 120.7
- ESPN rostered
- 16.7%
- Historical board
- —
Debug / model details
projects -1.1 points versus Packers D/ST; not enough edge to churn the roster; strong season outlook for the available position pool; same-position streaming decision
- Player Value
- 85.1
- Raw Δ
- -1.1
- Roster-fit adjustment
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -1.1
- UI fit score
- 38.8
Ignore
Falcons D/ST
D/ST · 1 · WAIVERS
Week
4.3
(5.4)
Season
71.7
(100.8)
Value
47
(79)
Fit
+0.0
Net
-1.1
Falcons D/ST
D/ST · 1 · WAIVERS
Pros
- No material positive factors beyond baseline.
Cons
- Week projection -1.1 versus Packers D/ST
- Season projection -29.0 versus comparison player
- Week projection edge does not clear the +1.5 streaming threshold
Decision math
- Incoming value
- 47.0
- Drop retention
- 78.8
- Raw Δ
- -1.1
- Roster fit
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -1.1
- Stream threshold
- +1.5 Week pts
Context
- Drop / swap
- Packers D/ST
- Week projection
- 4.3
- Season projection
- 71.7
- ESPN rostered
- 1.6%
- Historical board
- —
Debug / model details
projects -1.1 points versus Packers D/ST; not enough edge to churn the roster; same-position streaming decision
- Player Value
- 47.0
- Raw Δ
- -1.1
- Roster-fit adjustment
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -1.1
- UI fit score
- 39.2
Ignore
Dolphins D/ST
D/ST · 15 · WAIVERS
Week
4.2
(5.4)
Season
79.8
(100.8)
Value
52
(79)
Fit
+0.0
Net
-1.2
Dolphins D/ST
D/ST · 15 · WAIVERS
Pros
- No material positive factors beyond baseline.
Cons
- Week projection -1.2 versus Packers D/ST
- Season projection -21.0 versus comparison player
- Weak ESPN ownership/market signal
- Week projection edge does not clear the +1.5 streaming threshold
Decision math
- Incoming value
- 51.8
- Drop retention
- 78.8
- Raw Δ
- -1.2
- Roster fit
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -1.2
- Stream threshold
- +1.5 Week pts
Context
- Drop / swap
- Packers D/ST
- Week projection
- 4.2
- Season projection
- 79.8
- ESPN rostered
- 0.9%
- Historical board
- —
Debug / model details
projects -1.2 points versus Packers D/ST; not enough edge to churn the roster; same-position streaming decision
- Player Value
- 51.8
- Raw Δ
- -1.2
- Roster-fit adjustment
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -1.2
- UI fit score
- 37.6
Ignore
Bills D/ST
D/ST · 2 · WAIVERS
Week
4.1
(5.4)
Season
100.3
(100.8)
Value
72
(79)
Fit
+0.0
Net
-1.3
Bills D/ST
D/ST · 2 · WAIVERS
Pros
- No material positive factors beyond baseline.
Cons
- Week projection -1.3 versus Packers D/ST
- Week projection edge does not clear the +1.5 streaming threshold
Decision math
- Incoming value
- 72.5
- Drop retention
- 78.8
- Raw Δ
- -1.3
- Roster fit
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -1.3
- Stream threshold
- +1.5 Week pts
Context
- Drop / swap
- Packers D/ST
- Week projection
- 4.1
- Season projection
- 100.3
- ESPN rostered
- 5.0%
- Historical board
- —
Debug / model details
projects -1.3 points versus Packers D/ST; not enough edge to churn the roster; same-position streaming decision
- Player Value
- 72.5
- Raw Δ
- -1.3
- Roster-fit adjustment
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -1.3
- UI fit score
- 37.2
Ignore
Commanders D/ST
D/ST · 28 · WAIVERS
Week
3.6
(5.4)
Season
64.5
(100.8)
Value
38
(79)
Fit
+0.0
Net
-1.9
Commanders D/ST
D/ST · 28 · WAIVERS
Pros
- No material positive factors beyond baseline.
Cons
- Week projection -1.9 versus Packers D/ST
- Season projection -36.2 versus comparison player
- Weak ESPN ownership/market signal
- Week projection edge does not clear the +1.5 streaming threshold
Decision math
- Incoming value
- 38.0
- Drop retention
- 78.8
- Raw Δ
- -1.9
- Roster fit
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -1.9
- Stream threshold
- +1.5 Week pts
Context
- Drop / swap
- Packers D/ST
- Week projection
- 3.6
- Season projection
- 64.5
- ESPN rostered
- 1.2%
- Historical board
- —
Debug / model details
projects -1.9 points versus Packers D/ST; not enough edge to churn the roster; same-position streaming decision
- Player Value
- 38.0
- Raw Δ
- -1.9
- Roster-fit adjustment
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -1.9
- UI fit score
- 31.5
Ignore
Cardinals D/ST
D/ST · 22 · WAIVERS
Week
3.4
(5.4)
Season
97.7
(100.8)
Value
59
(79)
Fit
+0.0
Net
-2.0
Cardinals D/ST
D/ST · 22 · WAIVERS
Pros
- No material positive factors beyond baseline.
Cons
- Week projection -2.0 versus Packers D/ST
- Weak ESPN ownership/market signal
- Week projection edge does not clear the +1.5 streaming threshold
Decision math
- Incoming value
- 59.0
- Drop retention
- 78.8
- Raw Δ
- -2.0
- Roster fit
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -2.0
- Stream threshold
- +1.5 Week pts
Context
- Drop / swap
- Packers D/ST
- Week projection
- 3.4
- Season projection
- 97.7
- ESPN rostered
- 0.5%
- Historical board
- —
Debug / model details
projects -2.0 points versus Packers D/ST; not enough edge to churn the roster; same-position streaming decision
- Player Value
- 59.0
- Raw Δ
- -2.0
- Roster-fit adjustment
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -2.0
- UI fit score
- 30.0
Ignore
Giants D/ST
D/ST · 19 · WAIVERS
Week
3.3
(5.4)
Season
104.4
(100.8)
Value
70
(79)
Fit
+0.0
Net
-2.1
Giants D/ST
D/ST · 19 · WAIVERS
Pros
- No material positive factors beyond baseline.
Cons
- Week projection -2.1 versus Packers D/ST
- Week projection edge does not clear the +1.5 streaming threshold
Decision math
- Incoming value
- 70.0
- Drop retention
- 78.8
- Raw Δ
- -2.1
- Roster fit
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -2.1
- Stream threshold
- +1.5 Week pts
Context
- Drop / swap
- Packers D/ST
- Week projection
- 3.3
- Season projection
- 104.4
- ESPN rostered
- 2.9%
- Historical board
- —
Debug / model details
projects -2.1 points versus Packers D/ST; not enough edge to churn the roster; strong season outlook for the available position pool; same-position streaming decision
- Player Value
- 70.0
- Raw Δ
- -2.1
- Roster-fit adjustment
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -2.1
- UI fit score
- 29.0
Ignore
Panthers D/ST
D/ST · 29 · WAIVERS
Week
3.1
(5.4)
Season
62.3
(100.8)
Value
34
(79)
Fit
+0.0
Net
-2.3
Panthers D/ST
D/ST · 29 · WAIVERS
Pros
- No material positive factors beyond baseline.
Cons
- Week projection -2.3 versus Packers D/ST
- Season projection -38.5 versus comparison player
- Week projection edge does not clear the +1.5 streaming threshold
Decision math
- Incoming value
- 33.6
- Drop retention
- 78.8
- Raw Δ
- -2.3
- Roster fit
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -2.3
- Stream threshold
- +1.5 Week pts
Context
- Drop / swap
- Packers D/ST
- Week projection
- 3.1
- Season projection
- 62.3
- ESPN rostered
- 1.3%
- Historical board
- —
Debug / model details
projects -2.3 points versus Packers D/ST; not enough edge to churn the roster; same-position streaming decision
- Player Value
- 33.6
- Raw Δ
- -2.3
- Roster-fit adjustment
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -2.3
- UI fit score
- 26.5
Ignore
Colts D/ST
D/ST · 11 · WAIVERS
Week
3.0
(5.4)
Season
111.5
(100.8)
Value
73
(79)
Fit
+0.0
Net
-2.5
Colts D/ST
D/ST · 11 · WAIVERS
Pros
- No material positive factors beyond baseline.
Cons
- Week projection -2.5 versus Packers D/ST
- Week projection edge does not clear the +1.5 streaming threshold
Decision math
- Incoming value
- 72.9
- Drop retention
- 78.8
- Raw Δ
- -2.5
- Roster fit
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -2.5
- Stream threshold
- +1.5 Week pts
Context
- Drop / swap
- Packers D/ST
- Week projection
- 3.0
- Season projection
- 111.5
- ESPN rostered
- 3.8%
- Historical board
- —
Debug / model details
projects -2.5 points versus Packers D/ST; not enough edge to churn the roster; strong season outlook for the available position pool; same-position streaming decision
- Player Value
- 72.9
- Raw Δ
- -2.5
- Roster-fit adjustment
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -2.5
- UI fit score
- 25.3
Ignore
Saints D/ST
D/ST · 18 · WAIVERS
Week
2.8
(5.4)
Season
90.6
(100.8)
Value
56
(79)
Fit
+0.0
Net
-2.6
Saints D/ST
D/ST · 18 · WAIVERS
Pros
- No material positive factors beyond baseline.
Cons
- Week projection -2.6 versus Packers D/ST
- Week projection edge does not clear the +1.5 streaming threshold
Decision math
- Incoming value
- 55.5
- Drop retention
- 78.8
- Raw Δ
- -2.6
- Roster fit
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -2.6
- Stream threshold
- +1.5 Week pts
Context
- Drop / swap
- Packers D/ST
- Week projection
- 2.8
- Season projection
- 90.6
- ESPN rostered
- 3.1%
- Historical board
- —
Debug / model details
projects -2.6 points versus Packers D/ST; not enough edge to churn the roster; same-position streaming decision
- Player Value
- 55.5
- Raw Δ
- -2.6
- Roster-fit adjustment
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -2.6
- UI fit score
- 23.9
Ignore
49ers D/ST
D/ST · 25 · WAIVERS
Week
2.5
(5.4)
Season
82.9
(100.8)
Value
53
(79)
Fit
+0.0
Net
-2.9
49ers D/ST
D/ST · 25 · WAIVERS
Pros
- No material positive factors beyond baseline.
Cons
- Week projection -2.9 versus Packers D/ST
- Season projection -17.9 versus comparison player
- Week projection edge does not clear the +1.5 streaming threshold
Decision math
- Incoming value
- 52.7
- Drop retention
- 78.8
- Raw Δ
- -2.9
- Roster fit
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -2.9
- Stream threshold
- +1.5 Week pts
Context
- Drop / swap
- Packers D/ST
- Week projection
- 2.5
- Season projection
- 82.9
- ESPN rostered
- 7.5%
- Historical board
- —
Debug / model details
projects -2.9 points versus Packers D/ST; not enough edge to churn the roster; same-position streaming decision
- Player Value
- 52.7
- Raw Δ
- -2.9
- Roster-fit adjustment
- +0.0
- Net Δ
- -2.9
- UI fit score
- 21.0